Sometimes market failures lead to a
need for public policy intervention
•The Big Push: A Graphical
Model,
6
assumptions
One factor of production - labor
Two sectors – traditional, modern
One factor of production - labor
Two sectors – traditional, modern
Technology - Same production function
for each sector
–Domestic Demand - Consumers
spend
spend
an equal amount on each good
–Int’l Supply and Demand - Closed
economy
–Market Structure - Perfect
competition
competition
with traditional firms operating,
limit
pricing monopolist with a modern
firm
operating
•Other cases in which a big push
may
may
be necessary
–Intertemporal effects
•1st period = invest simultaneously; 2nd
period = income is increased by
higher
wages & profits
–Urbanization effects
•Rural – cottage industry; Urban –
manufacturing (demand for manufactured
goods)
–Infrastructure effects
•When one sector
industrializes à higher
industrializes à higher
demand for infrastructure
services
services
–Training effects
•Underinvestment in training and
education –
firms are afraid that trained
people will work
people will work
elsewhere and people don’t know
what skills
what skills
to acquire
Focuses on the sequential process
through which the economic, industrial
and institutional structure of an
underdeveloped country is transformed
over time to permit new industries to
replace agriculture.
Savings and investment accumulation
of physical and human capital, and
interrelated structural changes in the
economic structure of a country
(transformation of production, changes
in the composition of consumer
demand, international trade, changes
in socioeconomic factors like growth
and distribution of population and
urbanization) are needed
•Conclusions and
implications
implications
The model does not recognize
differences between countries
differences between countries
Observing developed country patterns
such as the decline in the share of
agriculture may lead developing
country policymakers to neglect that
sector, policymakers might suggest
the
development of an advanced university
system even before the majority of the
population has gained basic literacy
such as the decline in the share of
agriculture may lead developing
country policymakers to neglect that
sector, policymakers might suggest
the
development of an advanced university
system even before the majority of the
population has gained basic literacy
1.Lower levels of living and productivity
2.Lower levels of human capital
3.Higher levels of inequality and absolute
poverty
4.Higher population growth rates
5.Greater social fractionalization
6.Larger rural population- rapid migration to
cities
7.Lower levels of industrialization and
manufactured exports
8.Adverse geography
9.Underdeveloped financial and other markets
10.Colonial legacies - poor institutions etc.
The natural development economics
1.Traditional Economics is concerned with the efficient, least-cost allocation of scarce productive resources and with the optimal growth of these resources over time so as to produce an ever-expanding range of goods and services
The natural development economics
1.Traditional Economics is concerned with the efficient, least-cost allocation of scarce productive resources and with the optimal growth of these resources over time so as to produce an ever-expanding range of goods and services
2.Political economy is concerned with the relationship between politics and economics, with a special emphasis on the role of power in economic decision making
•A verbal description of the Todaro model
–Migration is a rational decision
–The decision depends on expected rather than actual wage differentials
–The probability of obtaining a city job is inversely related to the urban unemployment rate
–High rates of migration are outcomes of rural urban imbalances
•Five Policy Implications
–Reduction of urban bias
–Imbalances in expected income opportunities is crucial
–Indiscriminate educational expansion fosters increased migration and unemployment
–Wage subsidies and scarcity factor pricing can be counterproductive
–Programs of integrated rural development should be encouraged
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